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October 29, 2015
We can’t tell the future. We acknowledge that we don’t know what we don’t know. There are even things we know we don’t know. There are therefore more gaps in our thinking than we have surety in. In fact, every positive decision we make may be one step away from failure simply because we didn’t know what we didn’t know (remember bounded rationality?). Hence, even when we have made the right decision, we cannot keep it delivering the right outcomes. At any point in time, that right decision might yield a bad outcome. Does that make the decision wrong? Absolutely not. But does that mean that we are doomed to uncertainty in all our decisions? Again, the answer is no. So how can we deal with this uncertainty? Enter the hypothesis-driven process.
The hypothesis-driven process is one that helps strategic thinkers deal with the uncertainty of the future by testing the assumptions of their thinking.
Two tracks
There are two ways tracks: one is market testing, and the other was mental simulation...
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Leaders in strategic thinking, innovation & organic growth
in Singapore & Indonesia
Strategy . Innovation . Growth
"Dear Ian,
Thanks for being the excellent and authentic facilitator for us at NUS over the past few days. It was certainly an enriching 2 days spent away from work. I feel it has equipped me with a sound methodology in approaching difficult decisions."
Alvin Lee, Asst Manager, NUS
"I hope that more people will get to attend your course and be equipped with the tools to make decisions towards achieving their purpose - like I did."
Tan Cheong Hai, Finance Manager, NUS
"If you want to grow your business organically, this is worth learning."
Luthfi Adriansyah, Bank of Tokyo, Mitsubishi-UFJ
"This course was attended by Department Heads, but most of our staff work in project basis and the project managers (PMT/PMD) need to learn this skill too (for long term projects)."
Participant, Sembawang Shipyard
"I like the sessions very much, especially the live demonstrations, which indeed enhance the training skill. I have enjoyed the workshop and especially the role play. I with the session can be lengthier."
Lee Yoong Chew, Nanyang Technological University
"At it is, the course was well structured and pace, exact. Delivery is outstanding! Excellent rapport building by the trainer!"
Thomas Seet, Nanyang Technological University
"I must say this course is really wonderful. I am glad I came with an open mind, met a wonderful mentor (Ian), and the outcome was really beyond my imagination. Once again, thanks Ian."
Ken Tan, Associate Director, NUS
"Hi Ian,
Just want to say thanks for an enjoyable and enlightening course. It was personally beneficial to me because the two resourcing decisions I 'used' during the course are relevant to me and are things which I have to take action on with effect from... well...tomorrow!"
Calvin Murthy, Manager, NUS
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